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Happiness & Life Satisfaction20256 min read

The Surprising Global Map of Optimism

The distribution of optimism across sociodemographic groups in 22 countries

Notable finding

Brazil scored 9.22 on the 0-10 optimism scale, 2.5 points higher than lowest-ranked Japan

By
Chen, Ying et al.
Participants
202,898
Countries
22
Journal
Scientific Reports
DOI
10.1038/s41598-024-77257-1
Chat with paper
Chat with paper
§1

Key Takeaways

01

Mean optimism levels varied substantially across 22 countries, with some of the wealthiest nations—including the United States, Sweden, and the United Kingdom—ranking among the lowest in population optimism.

02

In pooled results across countries, individuals who were older, female, married, employed, more educated, and attended religious services frequently reported higher mean optimism levels.

03

The sociodemographic patterning of optimism differed widely across countries, suggesting that diverse cultural and societal influences shape which groups tend to report greater optimism.

§2

Why It Matters

This research is important because it shows that wealthier countries are not necessarily more optimistic. The discovery that some of the world's wealthiest countries have lower levels of optimism is a wake-up call for leaders and policymakers. It suggests that building a flourishing society requires more than just financial growth; it also means fostering social connection, community, and a shared sense of optimism.

Wealthier countries were not always the most optimistic; social connection and community were part of the picture too.

By identifying which groups are struggling—like young people in some wealthy nations or the unemployed—the findings can help direct mental health resources and support where they're needed most. It highlights that factors like stable relationships and community participation (including religious services) are powerful, universal sources of resilience. Ultimately, this global map of optimism gives us a new way to measure human progress and helps us understand the social and cultural ingredients needed to build a brighter future for everyone.

This research is important because it shows that wealthier countries are not necessarily more optimistic. The discovery that some of the world's wealthiest countries have lower levels of optimism is a wake-up call for leaders and policymakers. It suggests that building a flourishing society requires more than just financial growth; it also means fostering social connection, community, and a shared sense of optimism. By identifying which groups are struggling—like young people in some wealthy nations or the unemployed—the findings can help direct mental health resources and support where they're needed most. It highlights that factors like stable relationships and community participation (including religious services) are powerful, universal sources of resilience. Ultimately, this global map of optimism gives us a new way to measure human progress and helps us understand the social and cultural ingredients needed to build a brighter future for everyone.

Wealthier countries were not always the most optimistic; social connection and community were part of the picture too.

§3

The Story

Have you ever wondered who the most optimistic people in the world are? A massive new study of over 200,000 people in 22 countries set out to answer that question. Researchers wanted to understand how optimism—the general belief that good things will happen—is spread across the globe and within different groups of people.

Many of the world’s wealthiest countries rank surprisingly low in average optimism.

The findings were full of surprises. Globally, people in Brazil and Indonesia reported the highest levels of optimism, while those in Japan and the United Kingdom reported the lowest. Strikingly, many of the world's wealthiest and most individualistic countries, including the United States, Sweden, and Australia, ranked in the bottom half. This challenges the common assumption that money and personal freedom automatically lead to a brighter outlook.

The study also looked at who is most optimistic within countries. On average, older adults, women, married people, and those with more education and stable jobs tended to be more optimistic. Optimism was also higher, on average, among people who attended religious services regularly, even in very secular countries. One of the most interesting findings was about age. In most Western countries, people grew more optimistic as they got older.

But in several Asian and African nations, the pattern was different, with some showing younger people as more optimistic. This research paints a new, more complex picture of optimism, showing that it’s not just a personal feeling but is deeply shaped by our culture, community, and stage of life.

Figure
+2.48 points
Cross-National Optimism Range

On the 0–10 optimism scale, Brazil had the highest mean optimism score at 9.22, while Japan had the lowest at 6.74, a difference of 2.48 points.

Figure
1.6x
Unemployment and Optimism Gap

Among unemployed individuals, mean optimism was approximately 1.6 times higher in Brazil (9.17) than in Japan (5.57) on the 0–10 scale.

Figure
2.7:1
Optimism Inequality Ratio

Japan's Gini coefficient for optimism distribution was 0.19, roughly 2.7 times that of Brazil's 0.07, indicating greater inequality in optimism within Japan.

Figure
+0.70 points
Religious Attendance and Optimism

On the 0–10 optimism scale, those who attended religious services more than once a week scored 8.54, which was 0.70 points higher than those who never attended.

Figures
+2.48 points
Cross-National Optimism Range

On the 0–10 optimism scale, Brazil had the highest mean optimism score at 9.22, while Japan had the lowest at 6.74, a difference of 2.48 points.

1.6x
Unemployment and Optimism Gap

Among unemployed individuals, mean optimism was approximately 1.6 times higher in Brazil (9.17) than in Japan (5.57) on the 0–10 scale.

2.7:1
Optimism Inequality Ratio

Japan's Gini coefficient for optimism distribution was 0.19, roughly 2.7 times that of Brazil's 0.07, indicating greater inequality in optimism within Japan.

+0.70 points
Religious Attendance and Optimism

On the 0–10 optimism scale, those who attended religious services more than once a week scored 8.54, which was 0.70 points higher than those who never attended.

§4

Reader Questions

Cite

Research Details
& Citation

Chat with this paper
Published
2025
Journal
Scientific Reports
Participants
202,898
Countries
22
Cite this paper
Chen, Y., Kubzansky, L. D., Kim, E. S., Koga, H., Shiba, K., Padgett, R. N., Wilkinson, R., Johnson, B. R., & VanderWeele, T. J. (2025). The distribution of optimism across sociodemographic groups in 22 countries. Scientific Reports, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-77257-1
Tags
optimismhappinessageincomeeducationreligion-spirituality
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